September 30, 2009
Forex Tips
One: Knowing is half the battle
To borrow a line, success with Forex is about knowledge. If you just jump in an trade without knowing anything, like following a system blindly, you'll be losing money soon enough.
Two: Tightness
When you're trading, don't try to thread the needle. What I mean by this is that if you try to make trades with very minimal profit, thinking your risk is being lowered, you're setting yourself up for potential disaster.
Three: Pairs are where it's at
One mistake a lot of newer traders make is trading currencies straight, which is wrong. You want to trade pairs. You need to know how both sides function.
Four: Strategy
This really teams up with my first point. You need some sort of trading strategy. The last thing you want to do is trade all over the place without any "order" to it.
Five: Keep Emotions in Check
This goes for all trading, Forex or otherwise. Do not, under any circumstances, make emotional trades. I don't care if you doubled your money today or lose half of it. Each trade must be mechanical in nature. Trade like a surgeon. Through mechanical trading, you'll have a much better chance at success.
There are other trading tips out there that will help you. Obviously, some Forex trading tips are poor. The key to remember is that this market is like any market. Before you trade $1 of your own money, you need to understand the basics of the market and trading in general.
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September 10, 2009
Central banks
National central banks play an important role in the foreign exchange markets. They try to control the money supply, inflation, and/or interest rates and often have official or unofficial target rates for their currencies. They can use their often substantial foreign exchange reserves to stabilize the market. Milton Friedman argued that the best stabilization strategy would be for central banks to buy when the exchange rate is too low, and to sell when the rate is too high—that is, to trade for a profit based on their more precise information. Nevertheless, the effectiveness of central bank "stabilizing speculation" is doubtful because central banks do not go bankrupt if they make large losses, like other traders would, and there is no convincing evidence that they do make a profit trading.
The mere expectation or rumor of central bank intervention might be enough to stabilize a currency, but aggressive intervention might be used several times each year in countries with a dirty float currency regime. Central banks do not always achieve their objectives. The combined resources of the market can easily overwhelm any central bank.Several scenarios of this nature were seen in the 1992–93 ERM collapse, and in more recent times in Southeast Asia.